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Models also consider new assets that could be built in the future, including:

Committed / Under Construction Assets

Projects already underway or officially planned, which are typically forced into the model under certain scenarios (e.g. “Current Policies” or “Net Zero”).

Potential Assets

Candidate power plants, storage, or transmission lines that the model may choose to build if they are economically optimal. Data for planned and candidate future assets is similar to existing assets:
  • Capacity (MW)
  • Location (potential sites or region/node)
  • Planned year of operation (for committed assets)
  • Operational life (Years)
  • Technology type
  • Fuel type
Data sourcing standards for future assets is detailed below.

Data sourcing standards – future assets

Maximum capacity of future assets

Future assets are separated from the existing asset fleet in the model, and are only built if they are economically optimal. They are named as generic “candidate” assets (e.g. “additional_photovoltaic” and “additional_onshore-wind”). The maximum capacity of these candidate assets is an input to the model. The model will not build more than this maximum capacity, even if it is economically optimal to do so. This maximum can be based on:
  • Resource availability: e.g., wind and solar potential.
  • Policy targets: e.g., renewable energy capacity targets.
If a country or region allows a technology to be built in the future on top of the existing fleet, the maximum capacity of that technology must be specified as the remaining potential (i.e. the total resource or policy-driven potential, minus the existing capacity of assets that already draw on the same commodity or source). This avoids double-counting: without subtracting the existing fleet, the model could end up building more of a resource than is actually available. If a technology’s total potential is only available at the national level, the remaining potential is first calculated nationally (as described above), and then distributed across regions according to each region’s share of current installed capacity for that technology. Existing assets have their potential set equal to their installed capacity, so they cannot be expanded by default. Any new capacity is represented by these generic candidate assets instead.